Things are becoming a little more active in the tropics. Two of the Four disturbances in the Atlantic have turned over to a tropical depression and a tropical storm. The following will be a discussion on all of systems currently in the Atlantic.
Tropical Storm Kirk
This disturbance off the coast of Africa had the most favorable environment to turn over to a tropical storm and it wasted no time doing so. Kirk is a weak tropical storm and does not look to become a major tropical cyclone. For now at least it is currently moving west at 15-20 mph (which is pretty fast). Over the next two to three days, Kirk will continue to strengthen as it moves over warmer waters and a low shear environment (where upper level winds don’t cut into the storm). By Wednesday and Thursday, it will run into a high shear environment that will weaken the storm. The most recent track has this as a low end Tropical Storm crossing the Lesser Antilles Thursday night into Friday morning.
Tropical Depression #11
Tropical Depression #11 will not be that memorable. It is being torn apart right now by dry air and stronger upper level winds. By Sunday afternoon this will be stripped of its tropical depression status and will just be a cluster of thunderstorms with no tropical classification.
Number 1 – INVEST 98-L
As of right now, this is nothing to be concerned about. This broad area of low pressure is currently lingering in between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Right now, it is not producing a lot of rain. This system is projected to try and become more organized but likely won’t develop much. At this point, INVEST 98-L is nothing more than a low pressure system that could bring some rain to the Carolinas.
NOTE: THIS is NOT FLORENCE! There is a lot of buzz saying this is the “ghost of Florence” or “Florence reborn." All of the above is false. Not meaning to yell, just being stern.
Number 2
This is turning into a complex system, but will not be a concern to the United States. This wave still has a really good chance to become sub-tropical or a tropical system over the next couple days. This will be interesting to see what it does but does not need to be watched closely at this time.
