CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Any time there's a chance for snow in Charlotte, it's all about timing.
Is it cold and wet enough at the same time? Is the air too dry?
From Monday evening through early Tuesday morning, the atmospheric conditions may become favorable for a few snowflakes due to a weak disturbance moving nearby. This is most likely between 8 p.m. and 2 a.m.
However, even if the snow falls from the clouds above, drier air near the ground could allow for the snow version of virga ("snirga"). This means the precipitation could evaporate before it reaches the ground.
This is the kind of "chance" where we want folks to manage expectations. Even if you do see a flurry, the impact is extremely minimal.
But it would only take a trace to break our snowless drought in Charlotte, which currently stands at 1,044 days. The last time there was measurable snow (including a trace) was on Jan. 29, 2022.
Current Forecast
The chance for flurries is extremely low if you live in Mecklenburg County. If you live further north, toward the I-40 corridor, in Iredell County or Cabarrus County, your chance is a little higher.
This would also include northeast Gaston County, eastern Lincoln County, Catawba County, Alexander County, and Rowan County.
South of these areas, there looks to be no chance for you other than some cold light rain or drizzle.