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What is a flash drought, and why is it happening in the Carolinas?

The Carolinas are under a developing flash drought. South Carolina is under 100% dry/drought status for the first time since 2012.

CHARLOTTE, N.C. — Every Thursday, the U.S. Drought Monitor issues a map that updates the drought status for each state. North Carolina and South Carolina, for the second week in a row, have seen drastic increases in dry to drought conditions across the state. 

This means the Carolinas are officially under a flash drought.

A flash drought, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor, is "the rapid onset or intensification of drought. It is set in motion by lower-than-normal rates of precipitation, accompanied by abnormally high temperatures, winds, and radiation. Together, these changes in weather can rapidly alter the local climate." 

RELATED: Weather IQ: What is the drought monitor?

The five hottest temperatures recorded in Charlotte came between June 22 and 26 this year, reaching a peak of 99 degrees, which is the hottest temperature Charlotte has had since July 2022. 

The most recent update

The Carolinas have seen a 97% to 100% increase in abnormally dry to a lower level of drought status over the last month. That's 99% of North Carolina and all of South Carolina. 

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This is significant because 100% of South Carolina being under a dry/drought status hasn't happened since 2012. North Carolina is at 98.88%. The last time North Carolina was around 99% of the state was more recently December 2021. 

This is not a good situation this time of year because:

  • Evapotranspiration increased: Evaporation from the soil and by transpiration from plants.
  • Most plants are at their peak water need which are sucking the soil dry.
  • Hotter days in the mid to upper 90s are forecast to continue which means the need to rain is becoming dire.

Effects of Abnormally Dry status (D0)

  • Lawns are brown
  • Pastures are dry
  • Some crop stress 
  • Increased irrigation needed

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Effects of Moderate Drought status (D1)

  • Crop stress increases
  • Hay production is reduced
  • Trees and landscape are drought stressed
  • Streamflow is reduced
  • Lake and reservoirs levels decline
  • Voluntary water conservation begins
  • Wildfire danger is higher than the seasonal normal

RELATED: Our drought status and Red Flag Warning definition (2021 Weather IQ)

What needs to happen?

We need it to rain. Plain and simple. 

The WCNC Charlotte viewing area is abnormally dry for now, but if rain busts again this week, our area will be downgraded to moderate drought. 

A slow soaking rain is what is ideal. A half inch of rain over 12 hours is more beneficial than an inch over one hour. 

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June has only had an inch of rain and is close to 3 inches below normal. So even though the year is up overall, the recent hot and dry conditions have made that data null and void. We will need the average July rainfall plus the June deficit to get out of this drought hole (5-6 inches of rain but not all at once).

So try and conserve water, especially if you have a well, and fingers crossed those pop-up thunderstorms become more frequent as soon as possible.

Contact Chris Mulcahy at cmulcahy@wcnc.com and follow him on Facebook, X, Instagram and TikTok.

Want to learn more? Raise your 'Weather IQ' on Drought

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